Wednesday, May 03, 2006

 

Lib Dem Polling

For those of you who followed the Moray SP by-election, you may be familiar with the Lib Dem opinion polls. In leaflet after glossy leaflet they claimed to be polling 32%, very close to the SNP's 35%. Then, on the eve of poll they 'surged' ahead to 33%...'its going to be close'. Boy was it ever!

I have two theories. One is that the Lib Dem support somehow collapsed on the day of polling, bleeding an incredible 14% on the day. Or, more plausible, that they just totally made the whole thing up, followed no regular polling standards, and LIED TO THE PEOPLE OF MORAY.

What do you think the scenario was?

I have also noticed these 'real polls' popping up in local election leaflets as well...

Comments:
Spot on. And see how even after the event they call it "optimism": http://alexcolehamilton.iblogs.com/2006/04/28/moray-by-election-result/
 
Spot on. And see how even after the event they call it "optimism": http://alexcolehamilton.iblogs.com/2006/04/28/moray-by-election-result/
 
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